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Outlook 2013


Presented By: Dr. Frank James, Ph.D ~ Founder

Stocks

Traditionally, the year after Presidential elections is the most difficult for stock investors. Government spending is often curtailed. All around the developed world, be it China, Japan or Europe, export markets face problems. Excessive debt has depressed spending power by our traditional trading partners, and debt threatens our country. For these reasons, we look for a difficult year.

In spite of volatile markets and uncertain days ahead, opportunities exist for good investment returns. As 2012 ends, excessive pessimism makes stocks temporarily more attractive than bonds. Lower energy prices attract business ventures from here and abroad, while consumers yearn to replace aged automobiles and move into better homes. Profits for financial companies shift higher as their interest costs are low.
Positives Negatives
Positive The FED is flooding the markets with money (Quantitative Easing) Negative Stock prices are not at bargain levels
Positive Cheaper energy revitalizes consumption, encourages industrial production Negative Corporate earnings outstrip corporate revenues
Positive The fleet of automobiles on the road are aged, many need to be replaced Negative Taxes are going higher
Positive The housing slump is ending Negative Post-election years are historically difficult
Positive Low borrowing costs benefit financial institutions Negative Economic growth has been slow
Positive Abundant liquidity is available for stock purchases Negative Government defense spending may be curtailed
Download The Long-term Economic Report (.PDF 1.8 Mb)   PDF


The views and opinions expressed are those of
James Investment Research, Inc.

This information is of a general nature and does not constitute financial advice. It does not take into account your individual financial situation, objectives or needs, and should not be relied upon as a substitute for financial or other professional advice to assess, among other things, whether any such information is appropriate for you and/or applicable to your particular circumstances. In addition, this does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any financial product, service or program. The information contained herein is based on public information we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.
 
 


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